trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +5.7% | -4.4% | 67% | 56% | -34.7% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 62% | 54% | -34.7% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 62% | 54% | -34.7% |
| all | 13 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 62% | 54% | -34.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.8% | 54% | -34.7% |
| 10% | -21.1% | 46% | -40.9% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 31% | -46.6% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 23% | -51.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 67¢ | 68¢ | $67 | $68 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | No | 59¢ | 57¢ | $59 | $57 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June? | No | 52¢ | 66¢ | $9 | $11 | +$2 (+26%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $604 | −$598 | -99% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $84 | +$116 | +137% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Jun 23 | $20 | +$20 | +100% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30? | Jun 22 | $37 | +$5 | +12% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $127 | −$127 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $350 | +$95 | +27% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $475 | +$25 | +5% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $163 | −$160 | -99% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 19 | $112 | +$78 | +70% |
| Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? | Jun 11 | $22 | −$14 | -65% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 03 | $16 | +$6 | +40% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | May 30 | $5 | +$1 | +28% |