Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:44:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9375…5a37
crypto · 396 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,779 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,896 · open +$117
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$159
Realized−$1,896
Unrealized+$117
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses185 / 210
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions1
Markets (closed)395 / 396
History coverage40d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day55.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 395 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$185
7 days−$185
14 days−$185
30 days−$329
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? Yes 26¢ 100¢ $42 $159 +$117 (+278%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card) Melquizael Costa 48¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Knicks vs. 76ers 76ers 67¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels No 58¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals Yes 51¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) Raptors 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$16 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$18 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$11 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$10 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$29 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $139 −$65 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $164 −$16 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$27 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$31 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$29 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$30 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$34 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $170 −$21 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$19 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $139 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$10 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$11 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$12 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $114 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$14 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $124 −$27 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$11 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$10 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$6 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$25 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET May 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 17 $92 −$30 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET May 17 $61 −$13 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 17 $92 −$18 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 17 $31 +$27 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 17 $151 −$16 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET May 17 $26 −$20 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET May 17 $57 −$1 -2%
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano May 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 17 $113 −$22 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET May 17 $109 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET May 17 $77 +$12 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET May 17 $103 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET May 17 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 17 $92 −$17 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$1,718
sports 7% −$178
politics 0% +$117
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $43 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -27.5% -34.4% 37% 26% -17.0%
≤30d 55 -26.8% -33.8% 31% 24% -18.3%
≤90d 395 -9.1% -17.8% 47% 34% -15.3%
all 395 -9.1% -17.8% 47% 34% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 34% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 23% -23.4%
15% -32.8% 17% -30.8%
20% -39.4% 15% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $158.59 · official $158.59 (match) · 2328 history records