Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:12:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x936f…87b1
crypto · 22 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$36 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses10 / 12
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)22 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day31.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 22 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$43
14 days−$43
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$16 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$13 +1241%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$18 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$19 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +223%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$33
sports 4% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 36¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $8 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $9 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+45.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +60.9% +45.6% 45% 45% -26.4%
≤30d 22 +60.9% +45.6% 45% 45% -26.4%
≤90d 22 +60.9% +45.6% 45% 45% -26.4%
all 22 +60.9% +45.6% 45% 45% -26.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +45.6% 45% -26.4%
10% ← realistic here +31.7% 45% -33.5%
15% +18.9% 41% -39.9%
20% +7.3% 36% -45.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 46 history records