Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:43:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x936e…81e2
crypto · 25 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$33 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses5 / 18
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 25
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day80.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$33
14 days−$33
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +120%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$21 +500%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$22 +522%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$29
other 10% −$2
sports 2% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 3h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 4¢ $5 3h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND BUY 100¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-27.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -20.3% -27.9% 22% 22% -34.9%
≤30d 23 -20.3% -27.9% 22% 22% -34.9%
≤90d 23 -20.3% -27.9% 22% 22% -34.9%
all 23 -20.3% -27.9% 22% 22% -34.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.9% 22% -34.9%
10% ← realistic here -34.8% 22% -41.1%
15% -41.1% 22% -46.8%
20% -46.9% 17% -52.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $10.00 · 104 history records