Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:04:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9357…5d38
crypto · 614 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$33 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses405 / 209
Open positions0
Markets (closed)614 / 614
History coverage33d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day25.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 614 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 74¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 46¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 31¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 69¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 70¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 70¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 79¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 77¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 68¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 68¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 49¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 28¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 53¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 34¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 71¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 31¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 38¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 73¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 25¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 72¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +198%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +190%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +252%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 595 -3.9% -13.0% 66% 65% -12.5%
≤30d 612 -3.5% -12.6% 66% 66% -12.6%
≤90d 614 -3.8% -12.9% 66% 66% -13.0%
all 614 -3.8% -12.9% 66% 66% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 66% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 46% -21.3%
15% -28.9% 28% -28.9%
20% -35.8% 16% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1435 history records