trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 50% | 50% | +7.8% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 50% | 50% | +7.8% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 50% | 50% | +7.8% |
| all | 7 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 57% | 43% | +5.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -8.9% | 43% | +5.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -17.6% | 29% | -4.9% |
| 15% | -25.6% | 29% | -14.1% |
| 20% | -32.9% | 29% | -22.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime? | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $2,000 | $1,978 | −$22 (-1%) |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? | Yes | 44¢ | 44¢ | $2,000 | $1,978 | −$23 (-1%) |
| Canada vs. Qatar: Draw at halftime? | Yes | 36¢ | 36¢ | $1,000 | $993 | −$7 (-1%) |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? | Yes | 41¢ | 40¢ | $1,000 | $988 | −$12 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghana vs. Panama: Draw at halftime? | Jun 18 | $8,123 | +$8,753 | +108% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $2,201 | +$3,799 | +172% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $4,318 | −$4,318 | -100% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $2,964 | −$2,954 | -100% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $6,909 | +$1,091 | +16% |
| Belgium to score first vs. Egypt? | Jun 15 | $1,413 | −$1,400 | -99% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 03 | $9,998 | +$877 | +9% |