trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -28.0% | -34.9% | 20% | 20% | -43.8% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -13.4% | -21.6% | 48% | 43% | -13.3% |
| ≤90d | 55 | -4.7% | -13.7% | 62% | 51% | -14.7% |
| all | 362 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 52% | 50% | -15.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.5% | 50% | -15.3% |
| 10% | -22.7% | 44% | -23.4% |
| 15% | -30.2% | 36% | -30.8% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 26% | -37.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $3 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $5 | +$13 | +259% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $1 | +$2 | +167% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $13 | +$1 | +10% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $1 | +$1 | +69% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $1 | $0 | +26% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $2 | +$1 | +40% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $9 | +$4 | +42% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline | May 24 | $2 | +$1 | +44% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $1 | +$1 | +58% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $50 | +$5 | +11% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneyline | May 16 | $176 | +$21 | +12% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 14? | May 14 | $260 | −$98 | -38% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 14? | May 14 | $9 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14? | May 14 | $535 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14? | May 14 | $671 | −$32 | -5% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 14? | May 14 | $19 | −$7 | -35% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 12? | May 13 | $3 | +$1 | +21% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline | May 12 | $2 | +$1 | +37% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 11 | $1 | +$1 | +84% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 10 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11? | May 10 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $4 | +$1 | +26% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $3 | +$1 | +36% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 08 | $1 | +$1 | +62% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline | May 07 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 06 | $5 | +$1 | +23% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $465 | +$12 | +2% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 01 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | May 01 | $3 | $0 | +5% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | May 01 | $1 | +$1 | +49% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | Apr 30 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $4 | +$2 | +38% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 27 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 27 | $13 | +$2 | +18% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $7 | +$5 | +67% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 26 | $5 | +$2 | +34% |