Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:47:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9349…0486
other · 711 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$508 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$521 · open −$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$552
Realized−$521
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses137 / 558
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions16
Markets (closed)695 / 711
History coverage154d
Avg bet$180
Trades / day18.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 16 History 695 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$60
14 days−$51
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $173 $173 −$0 (-0%)
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 99¢ 99¢ $153 $153 −$0 (-0%)
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $144 $144 −$0 (-0%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 69¢ 80¢ $25 $29 +$4 (+15%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 25¢ 16¢ $20 $13 −$7 (-33%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No 51¢ 54¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+5%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes 39¢ 50¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+27%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes 38¢ 55¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+43%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Yes 37¢ 20¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-47%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Yes 53¢ 24¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-55%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? Yes 41¢ 16¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-61%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? Yes 21¢ 7¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-66%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Yes 34¢ 11¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-67%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Yes 33¢ 17¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-49%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? Yes 14¢ 5¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-66%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 13 $890 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 13 $942 −$2 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $1,241 −$2 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $824 −$1 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $677 −$1 -0%
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $906 −$2 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $931 −$2 -0%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $1,107 −$2 -0%
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $843 −$2 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 11 $614 −$1 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 11 $938 −$1 -0%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Jun 11 $978 −$1 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 11 $1,059 −$1 -0%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 11 $974 −$2 -0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 11 $1,033 −$2 -0%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 10 $1,054 −$2 -0%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 10 $930 −$1 -0%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 10 $857 −$1 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 10 $1,015 −$1 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 10 $926 −$1 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 10 $900 −$1 -0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 09 $876 −$2 -0%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 09 $1,009 −$2 -0%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 09 $867 −$1 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 09 $1,185 −$2 -0%
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 09 $1,166 −$2 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 09 $605 −$1 -0%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 09 $816 −$1 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 08 $1,509 −$2 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 08 $885 −$1 -0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 08 $783 −$2 -0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 08 $377 −$1 -0%
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 08 $448 −$1 -0%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 07 $514 −$1 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 07 $853 −$1 -0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 07 $698 −$1 -0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 07 $413 −$1 -0%
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 07 $624 −$1 -0%
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 07 $990 −$2 -0%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 07 $691 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 07 $537 −$1 -0%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina Jun 07 $492 −$1 -0%
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 07 $351 −$1 -0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 06 $669 −$1 -0%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 06 $423 −$1 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 06 $670 −$1 -0%
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 06 $457 $0 -0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 06 $461 −$1 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 06 $465 $0 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 06 $429 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 47% −$155
other 31% −$88
economics 10% −$21
crypto 4% −$32
world 2% −$35
sports 2% −$64
tech 2% −$8
culture 1% −$54
finance 1% +$30
weather 0% −$113
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $153 1h
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no BUY No 99¢ $144 1h
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $173 1h
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $145 1h
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $150 1h
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $175 1h
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $145 16h
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $175 16h
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $150 16h
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $139 16h
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $160 16h
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $172 16h
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $139 26h
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $172 26h
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $160 26h
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $149 26h
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $152 26h
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $161 26h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 53¢ $10 37h
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $149 42h
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $161 42h
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $152 42h
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $151 42h
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $154 42h
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin SELL No 99¢ $157 42h
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $151 2d
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $154 2d
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin BUY No 99¢ $157 2d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $138 2d
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $162 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 81 +4.3% -5.6% 10% 9% -9.6%
≤90d 374 -4.6% -13.7% 5% 3% -10.0%
all 695 -3.6% -12.8% 20% 5% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 5% -9.9%
10% -21.1% 3% -18.5%
15% -28.8% 3% -26.4%
20% -35.7% 2% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $551.79 · official $551.79 (match) · 3065 history records