Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:02:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9342…b68e
sports · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$60 -35%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)4 / 5
History coverage2d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 1 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$60
14 days−$60
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Over 51¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13 Jun 13 $15 −$6 -39%
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $99 −$97 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 12 $19 +$13 +67%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $35 +$31 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% −$54
other 9% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +3.7% -6.2% 50% 50% -41.8%
≤30d 4 +3.7% -6.2% 50% 50% -41.8%
≤90d 4 +3.7% -6.2% 50% 50% -41.8%
all 4 +3.7% -6.2% 50% 50% -41.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.2% 50% -41.8%
10% -15.1% 50% -47.4%
15% -23.3% 50% -52.5%
20% -30.8% 50% -57.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.90 · official $9.89 · 9 history records