Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:50:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x933f…df4b
sports · 199 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$736 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$735 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized−$735
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses60 / 138
Est. fees paid−$88
Open positions1
Markets (closed)198 / 199
History coverage49d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 198 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$320
14 days+$27
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 11¢ 10¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 26¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims) Dom Mar Fan 42¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Team Falcons 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 47¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 16¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI HANJIN BRION 14¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims) Alexander Hernandez 32¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card) Melquizael Costa 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Monte 20¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 12¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner LYON 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims) Marcus Buchecha 61¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card) Tai Tuivasa 68¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) Dplus KIA 42¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) Tuco Tokkos 41¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 46¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season G2 Esports 15¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner G2 33¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 DN SOOPers 48¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner UCAM Esports Club 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) Tatsuro Taira 61¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B 3DMAX 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $34 +$25 +73%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $38 −$37 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $39 −$39 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $62 −$61 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $63 +$39 +62%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $38 +$25 +66%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $34 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $50 −$49 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $49 −$48 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $15 −$15 -97%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $30 −$29 -98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $35 +$30 +86%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $59 −$58 -98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $12 +$20 +162%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $49 −$1 -2%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $59 −$8 -14%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $28 −$27 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 +$39 +383%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $45 −$44 -99%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $49 −$48 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $20 +$51 +250%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $28 −$27 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $20 −$19 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $14 +$28 +197%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $3 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $21 +$31 +152%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $14 −$14 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $27 −$27 -98%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $21 +$21 +102%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $10 −$1 -9%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $23 −$23 -98%
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Group B Jun 02 $5 −$5 -97%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 02 $47 −$4 -10%
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) Jun 01 $36 +$67 +188%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) Jun 01 $14 +$7 +52%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $20 +$27 +134%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $46 +$79 +172%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $30 +$141 +473%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $10 +$37 +365%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 26 $31 −$30 -98%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) May 25 $32 −$31 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$778
other 0% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $31 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 57¢ $34 9h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 13¢ $7 33h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 32¢ $31 33h
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY TYLOO 10¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY TYLOO 34¢ $39 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 15¢ $8 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 26¢ $54 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $102 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 61¢ $63 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner SELL Monte 99¢ $63 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 62¢ $35 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL Monte 57¢ $35 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 34¢ $3 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 55¢ $34 3d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY M80 27¢ $14 4d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY M80 32¢ $36 4d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BUY BIG 22¢ $12 4d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BUY BIG 35¢ $38 4d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY M80 5¢ $5 4d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY M80 13¢ $10 4d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 12¢ $15 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 20¢ $30 4d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 16¢ $5 5d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY G2 19¢ $10 5d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner SELL LYON 99¢ $32 5d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 1¢ $1 5d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner BUY LYON 37¢ $12 5d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 89¢ $119 5d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 35¢ $48 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-29.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -37.2% -43.2% 27% 23% -45.8%
≤30d 111 -5.1% -14.1% 32% 30% -11.8%
≤90d 198 -21.7% -29.2% 30% 29% -24.8%
all 198 -21.7% -29.2% 30% 29% -24.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.2% 29% -24.8%
10% -36.0% 29% -32.0%
15% -42.2% 28% -38.5%
20% -47.8% 25% -44.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.64 · official $28.64 (match) · 340 history records