Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:10:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x933e…901f
crypto · 637 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,090 -50%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,972 · open −$118
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$98
Realized−$1,972
Unrealized−$118
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses88 / 547
Open positions2
Markets (closed)635 / 637
History coverage188d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day10.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 635 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$969
7 days−$969
14 days−$969
30 days−$969
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 6¢ $176 $69 −$107 (-61%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 20¢ 14¢ $40 $29 −$11 (-27%)
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on December 19? No 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $996 −$969 -97%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me Apr 28 $60 −$60 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Apr 10 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Apr 10 $1 +$4 +382%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Apr 08 $3 −$3 -93%
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Apr 08 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Apr 07 $4 −$4 -94%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Apr 06 $2 −$2 -93%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Apr 06 $3 −$3 -93%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -93%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Apr 06 $2 −$2 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Apr 06 $2 −$2 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Apr 06 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Apr 06 $2 −$2 -93%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Apr 06 $2 −$2 -93%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -93%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Apr 01 $3 −$3 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Apr 01 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Apr 01 $4 −$4 -94%
Solana Up or Down - March 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Mar 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Mar 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Mar 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Mar 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Mar 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Mar 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Mar 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Mar 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Mar 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Mar 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Mar 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Mar 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March? Mar 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March? Mar 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March? Mar 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March? Mar 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March? Mar 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Feb 24 $3 −$3 -99%
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? Feb 24 $1 −$1 -100%
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? Feb 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Feb 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Feb 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Feb 23 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Feb 19 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Feb 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 62% −$773
other 31% −$1,124
economics 6% −$251
politics 1% +$11
sports 0% +$61
world 0% −$13
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 10m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 14m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 23¢ $31 19m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 12¢ $11 26m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 32m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 33m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 15¢ $51 40m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $102 51m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 2¢ $86 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 2¢ $103 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 2¢ $103 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 2¢ $103 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 2¢ $103 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $123 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $123 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $103 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $51 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $51 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $21 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $21 22h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $10 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 64d
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $5 64d
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 64d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 66d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 66d
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 66d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 66d
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 66d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-37.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 25 -80.7% -82.5% 4% 4% -99.6%
all 635 -30.9% -37.5% 14% 14% -59.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.5% 14% -59.4%
10% -43.5% 13% -63.3%
15% -48.9% 13% -66.9%
20% -53.9% 12% -70.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $97.97 · official $97.97 (match) · 2097 history records