Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:39:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
93 0x933a…1fe0 crypto 1115 markets active 5d ago coverage 31d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (83 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,529 (+1%) realized +$1,529 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate90%1002W / 113L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$100per market
Trades / day83.0pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 31d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$604
sports 0% −$171
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (83 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 -1.4% -10.8% 89% 31% -10.9%
≤30d 701 -2.6% -11.8% 88% 23% -14.3%
≤90d 1115 -0.6% -10.0% 90% 24% -10.1%
all 1115 -0.6% -10.0% 90% 24% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover83.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 24% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 6% -18.7%
15% -26.5% 2% -26.6%
20% -33.7% 1% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
70% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$87 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,529
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1002 / 113
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1115 / 1115
History coverage31d ⚠
Avg bet$100
Trades / day83.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1115 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$26 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $24 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $23 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$26 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $27 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $38 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $52 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$26 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $38 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $38 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $33 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $27 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $37 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $28 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $27 +$3 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $27 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $27 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $17 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $19 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $24 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $24 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $23 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $28 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $29 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $29 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $28 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $27 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $28 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $29 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $28 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $29 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records