Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:01:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9336…f565
sports · 24 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses12 / 11
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)23 / 24
History coverage72d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner Team Heretics 23¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner TYLOO 22¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha Team Heretics 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 70¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha All Gamers 36¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner All Gamers 40¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winner All Gamers 61¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha TYLOO 47¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $6 +$6 +93%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $4 $0 -7%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $4 +$7 +204%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $7 −$7 -99%
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha Apr 07 $15 −$10 -63%
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner Apr 07 $7 −$1 -18%
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner Apr 07 $3 +$2 +46%
Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega Apr 05 $8 +$1 +18%
Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Apr 05 $5 −$4 -88%
Valorant: Team Secret vs DRX - Map 2 Winner Apr 05 $14 −$6 -42%
Valorant: Team Secret vs DRX - Map 1 Winner Apr 05 $1 $0 -45%
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner Apr 04 $7 +$3 +35%
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omeg Apr 04 $8 +$2 +24%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alp Apr 04 $12 +$1 +12%
Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha Apr 04 $3 +$1 +20%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner Apr 04 $4 +$1 +18%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha Apr 03 $7 −$1 -17%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner Apr 03 $13 $0 +1%
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha Apr 03 $2 −$2 -98%
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner Apr 03 $4 −$4 -99%
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winner Apr 03 $3 −$3 -99%
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 1 Winner Apr 03 $2 +$2 +100%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 2 Winner Apr 03 $15 +$9 +61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Heretics 99¢ $12 18m
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London SELL Leviatán Esports 67¢ $4 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 50¢ $3 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 51¢ $3 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 71¢ $4 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner SELL Leviatán Esports 85¢ $5 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics 23¢ $1 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 65¢ $4 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 100¢ $11 23h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 21¢ $1 25h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 42¢ $3 25h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $7 4d
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha BUY TYLOO 37¢ $2 68d
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha BUY TYLOO 54¢ $3 68d
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha BUY TYLOO 43¢ $2 68d
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha BUY TYLOO 53¢ $3 68d
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha SELL FunPlus Phoenix 40¢ $6 68d
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha BUY FunPlus Phoenix 27¢ $1 68d
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha BUY FunPlus Phoenix 42¢ $2 68d
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner SELL FunPlus Phoenix 90¢ $10 68d
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner BUY TYLOO 22¢ $1 68d
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha BUY FunPlus Phoenix 36¢ $2 68d
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner BUY FunPlus Phoenix 57¢ $3 68d
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner BUY FunPlus Phoenix 49¢ $3 68d
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner SELL TYLOO 86¢ $5 68d
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner BUY TYLOO 58¢ $3 68d
Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega SELL XLG Gaming 51¢ $3 70d
Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega BUY XLG Gaming 36¢ $2 70d
Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega SELL Trace Esports 56¢ $3 70d
Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega BUY Trace Esports 47¢ $2 70d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +47.5% +33.4% 50% 50% +15.3%
≤30d 4 +47.5% +33.4% 50% 50% +15.3%
≤90d 23 -10.8% -19.3% 52% 48% -12.7%
all 23 -10.8% -19.3% 52% 48% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.3% 48% -12.7%
10% -27.1% 30% -21.0%
15% -34.1% 26% -28.7%
20% -40.6% 17% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 98 history records