Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:47:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9328…4864
other · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$13 -38%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$10 +188%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $12 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $15 30h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 22¢ $10 31h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $5 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -4.0% -13.1% 33% 33% -51.0%
≤30d 3 -4.0% -13.1% 33% 33% -51.0%
≤90d 3 -4.0% -13.1% 33% 33% -51.0%
all 3 -4.0% -13.1% 33% 33% -51.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.1% 33% -51.0%
10% -21.5% 33% -55.7%
15% -29.0% 33% -59.9%
20% -36.0% 33% -63.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.90 · official $6.90 (match) · 6 history records