Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T08:49:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
93 0x9323…4f44 crypto 55 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$5 (-2%) realized −$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR62%break-even
Win rate62%34W / 21L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day55.0pace
Kalshi-fit64%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 63% −$6
other 37% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -5.9% -14.9% 62% 62% -12.8%
≤30d 55 -5.9% -14.9% 62% 62% -12.8%
≤90d 55 -5.9% -14.9% 62% 62% -12.8%
all 55 -5.9% -14.9% 62% 62% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 62% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 62% -21.2%
15% -30.5% 58% -28.8%
20% -37.3% 40% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.56 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses34 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)55 / 55
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day55.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 55 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +50%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +83%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +49%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +52%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +44%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +57%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +50%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +46%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +34%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +44%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +54%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +44%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +60%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 31m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 38m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 38m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 90 history records