Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:33:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9320…311a
crypto · 808 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$309 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$309 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$309
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses364 / 444
Open positions0
Markets (closed)808 / 808
History coverage151d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day17.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 808 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$17
14 days−$29
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 03 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$309
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -7.5% -16.3% 65% 65% -16.3%
≤30d 82 -7.0% -15.9% 65% 63% -15.9%
≤90d 82 -7.0% -15.9% 65% 63% -15.9%
all 808 -6.0% -14.9% 45% 45% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.9% 45% -12.2%
10% -23.1% 43% -20.6%
15% -30.5% 39% -28.2%
20% -37.3% 37% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records