Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T18:06:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
93 0x9318…91bb crypto 48 markets active 2h ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (859 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$22,169 (+81%) realized +$22,169 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate12%25W / 175L
Whale WR12%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$574per market
Trades / day859.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$4,537now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,602
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (859 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 200 +6.0% -4.1% 12% 12% -67.2%
≤30d 200 +6.0% -4.1% 12% 12% -67.2%
≤90d 200 +6.0% -4.1% 12% 12% -67.2%
all 200 +6.0% -4.1% 12% 12% -67.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover859.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.1% 12% -67.2%
10% ← realistic here -13.3% 12% -70.4%
15% -21.6% 12% -73.2%
20% -29.3% 12% -75.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 37% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -66% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt -66% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 12% (≥$557) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -59% → late +71% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
66.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$853 vs −$465 · ×1.84 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.26 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$4,537
Realized+$22,169
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses25 / 175
Whale WR (big bets)12%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)200 / 48
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$574
Trades / day859.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 200 Trades
no open positions (189 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $522 +$847 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $140 −$140 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $153 −$153 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $472 −$472 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $383 −$383 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$27 -9956%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $220 −$220 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$109 -51051%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $388 −$388 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $589 −$429 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $357 −$357 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$117 -5987%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $1,662 −$1,662 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $332 −$368 -111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $419 −$419 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $308 −$308 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $282 −$282 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $838 −$838 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $511 −$511 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $447 −$447 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$118 -5855%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $303 −$200 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $878 −$878 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $135 −$135 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $176 −$176 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $176 −$176 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$267 -108976%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $1,977 −$1,977 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $910 −$910 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $598 −$598 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$57 -5072%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $538 −$538 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$80 -12332%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$462 -6941%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$100 +18378%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $998 −$998 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $200 −$200 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $36 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $7 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,536.60 · official $4,532.28 (match) · 3500 history records