Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T04:46:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
93 0x9318…1586 crypto 1711 markets active 0h ago coverage 12d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 12d only
✗ bot/MM pace (150 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$275 (+2%) realized +$275 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate94%1659W / 105L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day150.2pace
Kalshi-fit83%portable
Net worth$52now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$396
7 days−$294
14 days−$241
30 days−$241
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% +$297
other 16% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (150 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1025 -3.0% -12.3% 93% 9% -11.6%
≤30d 1764 -1.4% -10.8% 94% 10% -10.6%
≤90d 1764 -1.4% -10.8% 94% 10% -10.6%
all 1764 -1.4% -10.8% 94% 10% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover150.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 10% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 5% -19.2%
15% -27.1% 2% -27.0%
20% -34.3% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
89% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$9 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$52
Realized+$275
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1659 / 105
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1764 / 1711
History coverage12d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day150.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1764 Trades
no open positions (106 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 26 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 26 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 26 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 26 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 26 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 26 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 26 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 26 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 26 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Huzhou: Katarzyna Kawa vs Hanyu Guo Jun 26 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Jun 26 $39 −$39 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 26 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 26 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $19 −$19 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -100%
ODI Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe Jun 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 26 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 26 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 26 $20 −$41 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 26 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 26 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders Jun 26 $26 −$26 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $13 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $13 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $23 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.08 · official $50.40 · 3500 history records