Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:19:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
92 0x92fa…336b crypto 2533 markets active 5h ago coverage 65d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 64d only
✗ bot/MM pace (50 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$82 (-2%) realized −$82 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -38% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -52% what you keep after slip
Net edge-52%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate30%711W / 1670L
Drawdown37%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day50.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$138
7 days−$108
14 days+$213
30 days+$339
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$480
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (50 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-43.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 167 -29.8% -36.5% 35% 35% -41.1%
≤30d 816 +11.1% +0.5% 61% 59% +3.8%
≤90d 2381 -37.7% -43.7% 30% 29% -2.3%
all 2381 -37.7% -43.7% 30% 29% -2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover50.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -43.7% 29% -2.3%
10% ← realistic here -49.1% 28% -11.6%
15% -54.0% 27% -20.2%
20% -58.5% 22% -28.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +9% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -38% · $-wt +9% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -64% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$1 · ×3.0 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.28 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

65d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$82
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses711 / 1670
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2381 / 2533
History coverage65d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day50.4
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2381 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$2 -166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $12 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records