Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:40:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92f8…1e1f
crypto · 169 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$124 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$124 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$124
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses80 / 89
Open positions0
Markets (closed)169 / 169
History coverage38d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day23.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 169 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$76
14 days−$85
30 days−$85
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$8 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$14 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$9 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$6 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $13 −$9 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$13 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$7 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 07 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 07 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 07 $13 +$11 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 07 $6 +$6 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$124
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $11 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-26.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -8.1% -16.9% 54% 46% -19.1%
≤30d 115 -14.2% -22.3% 50% 44% -19.0%
≤90d 169 -19.1% -26.8% 47% 36% -20.9%
all 169 -19.1% -26.8% 47% 36% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.8% 36% -20.9%
10% ← realistic here -33.8% 27% -28.5%
15% -40.2% 17% -35.4%
20% -46.1% 11% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1020 history records