Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T01:25:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
92 0x92f5…6d29 crypto 1338 markets active 15d ago coverage 11d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (190 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$7,055 (-66%) realized −$7,055 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1314W / 24L
Drawdown98%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day189.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 11d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (190 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1338 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 1338 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 0% -9.5%
all 1338 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover189.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 0% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$7 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,055
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1314 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1338 / 1338
History coverage11d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day189.8
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1338 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records