Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92ef…c791
crypto · 145 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses109 / 35
Open positions1
Markets (closed)144 / 145
History coverage82d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 144 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 87¢ 30¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-66%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 +0.9% -8.7% 75% 68% -10.7%
≤30d 99 +0.9% -8.7% 75% 68% -10.7%
≤90d 144 +0.2% -9.3% 76% 52% -9.7%
all 144 +0.2% -9.3% 76% 52% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 52% -9.7%
10% -18.0% 17% -18.3%
15% -25.9% 3% -26.2%
20% -33.2% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.34 · official $0.34 (match) · 340 history records