Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:08:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92eb…7310
crypto · 1147 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$194 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$194 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$194
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses663 / 483
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1146 / 1147
History coverage210d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day6.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 1146 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$46
7 days−$251
14 days−$251
30 days−$251
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes 15¢ 16¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$16 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$8 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$11 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$210
other 1% +$16
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 538 -31.3% -37.9% 63% 7% -13.1%
≤30d 538 -31.3% -37.9% 63% 7% -13.1%
≤90d 542 -29.0% -35.8% 63% 8% -12.2%
all 1146 -17.8% -25.6% 58% 32% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.6% 32% -11.4%
10% -32.7% 21% -19.9%
15% -39.2% 20% -27.7%
20% -45.2% 20% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.33 · official $10.33 (match) · 2706 history records