Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:59:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
92 0x92dc…9980 sports 1501 markets active 1h ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,905 (+2%) realized +$1,905 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate99%1486W / 21L
Whale WR97%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$83per market
Trades / day58.5pace
Fees−$20est.
Kalshi-fit62%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$766
7 days−$711
14 days−$602
30 days−$297
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 73% +$495
other 27% +$230
crypto 0% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 293 -1.3% -10.7% 98% 0% -12.5%
≤30d 1187 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 1% -9.8%
≤90d 1507 +0.3% -9.2% 99% 1% -9.6%
all 1507 +0.3% -9.2% 99% 1% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 1% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 0% -18.2%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 97% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$58 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,905
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1486 / 21
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1507 / 1501
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$83
Trades / day58.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1507 Trades
no open positions (11 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Jun 17 $800 −$800 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) Jun 17 $64 $0 +0%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) Jun 17 $28 $0 +0%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 17 $28 $0 +0%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) Jun 17 $28 $0 +0%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) Jun 17 $14 $0 +0%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 17 $14 $0 +0%
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 17 $193 +$7 +4%
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5) Jun 17 $199 +$1 +0%
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5) Jun 17 $499 +$1 +0%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) Jun 17 $28 $0 +0%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5) Jun 17 $28 $0 +0%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 17 $194 +$6 +3%
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals Jun 17 $192 +$8 +4%
Cincinnati Reds winning after 5 innings? Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5) Jun 17 $40 $0 +0%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5) Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $28 $0 +0%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Jun 16 $0 $0 +1%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) Jun 16 $14 $0 +0%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics Jun 16 $1,071 +$1 +0%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5) Jun 16 $78 $0 +0%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) Jun 16 $34 $0 +1%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-4.5) Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5) Jun 16 $28 $0 +0%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 16 $43 $0 +1%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5) Jun 16 $64 $0 +0%
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5) Jun 16 $28 $0 +0%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 16 $578 +$1 +0%
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) Jun 16 $28 $0 +0%
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals Jun 16 $194 +$6 +3%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5) Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Washington Nationals winning after 5 innings? Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $64 $0 +0%
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: Tied after 5 innings? Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Kansas City Royals winning after 5 innings? Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? Jun 15 $130 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? Jun 15 $100 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 100¢ $64 41m
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 100¢ $28 1h
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 100¢ $28 1h
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 100¢ $28 1h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 100¢ $14 1h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 100¢ $14 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs BUY Colorado Rockies 96¢ $193 2h
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5) BUY New York Yankees 100¢ $199 3h
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5) BUY New York Yankees 100¢ $499 3h
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) BUY Toronto Blue Jays 100¢ $28 3h
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5) BUY Toronto Blue Jays 100¢ $28 3h
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Toronto Blue Jays 97¢ $194 3h
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 96¢ $192 3h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5) BUY Cincinnati Reds 100¢ $40 4h
Cincinnati Reds winning after 5 innings? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 4h
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 BUY Over 100¢ $18 4h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) BUY New York Yankees 99¢ $5 4h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5) BUY New York Yankees 99¢ $5 4h
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 BUY Over 100¢ $18 4h
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 BUY Over 100¢ $28 4h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) BUY Toronto Blue Jays 99¢ $5 4h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) BUY Toronto Blue Jays 99¢ $5 4h
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 100¢ $42 24h
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 100¢ $467 24h
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 100¢ $2 24h
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 100¢ $52 24h
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 100¢ $5 24h
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 100¢ $4 24h
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 100¢ $500 24h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) BUY Athletics 100¢ $14 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records