Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:37:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92da…6783
sports · 6 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
−$312 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$310 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$337
Realized−$310
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 6
History coverage102d
Avg bet$182
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$161
7 days−$161
14 days−$205
30 days−$205
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $340 $337 −$2 (-1%)
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Under 67¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $330 +$11 +4%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $89 −$39 -43%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $135 −$134 -99%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? May 31 $44 −$44 -98%
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? Mar 10 $150 −$105 -70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% +$9
sports 25% −$216
world 14% −$105
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $341 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $342 12h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 95¢ $330 12h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 26¢ $51 35h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 44¢ $89 35h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 67¢ $135 35h
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? BUY Yes 42¢ $44 13d
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? SELL Yes 18¢ $45 95d
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? BUY Yes 62¢ $150 102d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-65.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -46.6% -51.7% 33% 0% -35.9%
≤30d 4 -59.9% -63.7% 25% 0% -40.5%
≤90d 4 -59.9% -63.7% 25% 0% -40.5%
all 5 -62.0% -65.6% 20% 0% -47.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -65.6% 0% -47.1%
10% -68.9% 0% -52.2%
15% -71.9% 0% -56.8%
20% -74.7% 0% -61.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $337.47 · official $337.51 (match) · 9 history records