Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92d9…8451
crypto · 408 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$371 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$372 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$19
Realized−$372
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses189 / 218
Open positions1
Markets (closed)407 / 408
Avg bet$18
Trades / day116.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 407 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$217
14 days−$290
30 days−$372
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 76¢ 55¢ $18 $13 −$5 (-28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 37¢ 46¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$12 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$6 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $32 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$10 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$29 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $78 −$11 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $91 −$13 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$7 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$4 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$4 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$11 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$4 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$371
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $7 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 252 -5.3% -14.3% 57% 27% -12.6%
≤30d 407 -12.2% -20.6% 46% 27% -14.2%
≤90d 407 -12.2% -20.6% 46% 27% -14.2%
all 407 -12.2% -20.6% 46% 27% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover116.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 27% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 18% -22.4%
15% -35.1% 12% -29.9%
20% -41.5% 8% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.00 · official $17.95 · 2383 history records