Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:43:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
92 0x92d8…9762 other 373 markets active 4h ago coverage 170d
COPY-WORTHYcopy this Fading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 170d only
! high turnover
Total PnL +$159,855 (+21%) realized +$159,855 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +61% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +21% what you keep after slip
Net edge+21%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate60%223W / 150L
Whale WR63%big bets
Drawdown30%max
Avg bet$2,058per market
Trades / day18.9pace
Fees−$324est.
Kalshi-fit26%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,799
7 days+$8,080
14 days+$8,080
30 days+$8,080
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 74% +$120,601
sports 25% +$10,171
world 1% +$6,997
crypto 0% −$244
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+45.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +634.3% +564.4% 67% 33% +21.9%
≤30d 3 +634.3% +564.4% 67% 33% +21.9%
≤90d 192 -20.7% -28.3% 31% 23% -11.9%
all 373 +60.8% +45.5% 60% 50% +6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.9 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +45.5% 50% +6.2%
10% ← realistic here +31.5% 42% -4.0%
15% +18.8% 37% -13.3%
20% +7.2% 33% -21.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +61% · $-wt +18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 63% (≥$1,263) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +145% → late -23% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
5.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,046 vs −$646 · ×1.62 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.44 per $1 lost it wins $2.44
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

170d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$159,855
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses223 / 150
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$324
Open positions0
Markets (closed)373 / 373
History coverage170d ⚠
Avg bet$2,058
Trades / day18.9
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit26%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 373 Trades
no open positions (11 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $271 +$9,452 +3494%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $1,654 −$1,653 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $9,709 +$281 +3%
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $8,398 −$8,337 -99%
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $18 −$17 -97%
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $2,993 −$2,926 -98%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: O/U 5.5 May 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12? May 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5 May 09 $17 −$16 -97%
FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5 May 09 $0 $0 -97%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $469 +$281 +60%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $422 +$66 +16%
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $234 +$144 +62%
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $35 +$6 +18%
São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5 May 04 $686 +$8 +1%
AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Score May 03 $4 +$10 +276%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $293 +$181 +62%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $9,959 +$1,133 +11%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02? May 03 $14 +$12 +82%
Will NEC win on 2026-05-02? May 03 $161 +$629 +391%
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 May 02 $2,970 +$30 +1%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $490 +$73 +15%
Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 May 02 $13,627 +$169 +1%
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $727 −$711 -98%
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $2,511 −$454 -18%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30? Apr 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $210 +$296 +141%
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5 Apr 25 $6 −$6 -100%
SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5 Apr 25 $123 −$123 -100%
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-23? Apr 25 $2,718 −$2,718 -100%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-21? Apr 25 $3,591 −$3,591 -100%
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $1,608 +$362 +22%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $87 +$36 +42%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $300 +$60 +20%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Apr 25 $1 +$2 +400%
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5 Apr 25 $607 +$88 +14%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23? Apr 23 $628 +$135 +21%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 21 $822 +$55 +7%
Will Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? Apr 21 $270 −$270 -100%
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-19? Apr 21 $729 −$713 -98%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 21 $30 −$30 -100%
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-18? Apr 21 $56 −$56 -100%
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18? Apr 21 $2,455 −$2,455 -100%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $2,191 +$365 +17%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $4,314 +$409 +10%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $1,141 −$320 -28%
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16? Apr 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Antalyaspor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5 Apr 17 $558 +$150 +27%
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5 Apr 17 $19,980 +$19 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $1,003 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $1 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $1 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $1 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $3,748 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $1 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $1 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $1 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $5 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $9 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $3,748 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $5 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $1 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $5 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $5 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $5 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $4 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $100 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $250 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $825 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 37¢ $2 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under $1 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under $270 3h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 15¢ $2 27h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 15¢ $966 27h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 15¢ $98 27h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 15¢ $2 27h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 15¢ $2 27h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 15¢ $2 27h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 15¢ $2 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records