Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T08:43:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
92 0x92c3…1696 crypto 1061 markets active 1h ago coverage 62d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 62d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$3,409 (-12%) realized −$3,409 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate61%650W / 411L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day37.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$304
7 days−$310
14 days−$310
30 days−$506
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,768
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -51.0% -55.7% 33% 14% -33.5%
≤30d 397 -6.7% -15.6% 58% 27% -21.1%
≤90d 1061 -10.0% -18.6% 61% 22% -15.2%
all 1061 -10.0% -18.6% 61% 22% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover37.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 22% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 16% -23.3%
15% -33.5% 12% -30.8%
20% -40.0% 11% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
62% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$10 · ×0.35 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.56 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

62d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,409
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses650 / 411
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1061 / 1061
History coverage62d ⚠
Avg bet$26
Trades / day37.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1061 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 19 $56 −$6 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 19 $134 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $22 +$8 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $58 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $79 −$9 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 19 $33 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $31 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 19 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 19 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 19 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 18 $12 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records