trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 33% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 33% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 28 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 43% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -20.4% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 19 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 17 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $36 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 30 | $44 | +$1 | +1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $4 | −$1 | -21% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 29 | $33 | +$3 | +10% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 29 | $13 | −$2 | -14% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 29 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 28 | $38 | $0 | -1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 28 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 27 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok? | Jun 28 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 21 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? | Apr 18 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 16 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 15 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025? | Apr 12 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 55°F or higher on March 18? | Mar 21 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by March 31? | Mar 19 | $2 | $0 | -24% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 14? | Mar 14 | $11 | −$4 | -36% |
| Solana above $145 on March 14? | Mar 13 | $38 | +$1 | +2% |
| 2025 February hottest on record? | Mar 12 | $13 | $0 | +1% |