Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:07:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92a6…2018
other · 4 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
−$171 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$214 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$214
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage35d
Avg bet$168
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$250
7 days−$250
14 days−$250
30 days−$325
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16? No 40¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 14 $497 −$250 -50%
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $76 −$75 -98%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $51 +$33 +65%
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) May 10 $49 +$78 +158%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 93% −$292
sports 7% +$78
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? SELL No 11¢ $248 1h
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? BUY No 21¢ $497 16d
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16? BUY No 40¢ $76 29d
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) BUY FC Barcelona 38¢ $49 34d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 60¢ $51 34d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -50.2% -54.9% 0% 0% -54.9%
≤30d 2 -75.1% -77.5% 0% 0% -60.8%
≤90d 4 +18.2% +7.0% 50% 50% -38.3%
all 4 +18.2% +7.0% 50% 50% -38.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +7.0% 50% -38.3%
10% -3.3% 50% -44.2%
15% -12.6% 50% -49.6%
20% -21.2% 50% -54.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 7 history records