Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:39:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x92a0…e52a
crypto · 12 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$29 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$29 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses9 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)12 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day72.0
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days+$29
14 days+$29
30 days+$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $43 +$7 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$8 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$16 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$11 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $82 +$18 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $47 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $34 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $26 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -0.2% -9.7% 75% 50% -2.8%
≤30d 12 -0.2% -9.7% 75% 50% -2.8%
≤90d 12 -0.2% -9.7% 75% 50% -2.8%
all 12 -0.2% -9.7% 75% 50% -2.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 50% -2.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 33% -12.1%
15% -26.2% 8% -20.6%
20% -33.5% 8% -28.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 78 history records