Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T06:42:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
92 0x9288…59a2 sports 53 markets active 0h ago coverage 31d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
! high turnover
Total PnL +$6,039 (+5%) realized +$5,524 · open +$515
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +57% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +26% what you keep after slip
Net edge+26%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate76%38W / 12L
Whale WR77%big bets
Drawdown33%max
Avg bet$2,120per market
Trades / day15.4pace
Fees−$1,206est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$2,144now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$66
7 days+$66
14 days+$544
30 days+$5,279
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$5,793
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+42.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +8.8% -1.5% 100% 0% -1.5%
≤30d 50 +57.2% +42.2% 76% 42% -3.0%
≤90d 50 +57.2% +42.2% 76% 42% -3.0%
all 50 +57.2% +42.2% 76% 42% -3.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.4 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +42.2% 42% -3.0%
10% ← realistic here +28.6% 22% -12.2%
15% +16.2% 16% -20.7%
20% +4.8% 8% -28.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
42% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +57% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 77% (≥$2,706) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +4% → late +111% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
8.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$212 vs −$232 · ×0.91 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.9 per $1 lost it wins $2.9
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$2,144
Realized+$5,524
Unrealized+$515
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses38 / 12
Whale WR (big bets)77%
Est. fees paid−$1,206
Open positions3
Markets (closed)50 / 53
History coverage31d
Avg bet$2,120
Trades / day15.4
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 50 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner T1 62¢ 100¢ $570 $915 +$345 (+60%)
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner T1 89¢ 100¢ $783 $882 +$99 (+13%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp 80¢ 100¢ $276 $347 +$71 (+26%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 9 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $748 +$66 +9%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $301 +$77 +26%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $4,237 −$83 -2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $4,047 +$233 +6%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $3,404 +$251 +7%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $3,216 −$38 -1%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2,097 −$60 -3%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,645 +$22 +1%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $2,924 +$490 +17%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $652 +$83 +13%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $2,356 −$33 -1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $4,360 +$767 +18%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $5,187 −$676 -13%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $558 +$242 +43%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2,019 +$41 +2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $687 +$328 +48%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $2,200 +$303 +14%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3,651 −$86 -2%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $3,386 −$28 -1%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $2,701 +$514 +19%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $45 +$17 +36%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $2,617 +$121 +5%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $3,605 +$88 +2%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $1,823 +$333 +18%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $2,299 +$160 +7%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $1,800 +$169 +9%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $608 +$85 +14%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $1,936 +$194 +10%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $3,454 +$102 +3%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $1,666 +$198 +12%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $1,862 +$224 +12%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $5,297 +$343 +6%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $2,862 +$29 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $3,179 +$225 +7%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $3,023 +$3 +0%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $2,400 +$443 +18%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $1,015 +$25 +2%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $567 −$85 -15%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 30 $2,247 −$329 -15%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 30 $983 +$54 +6%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $1,958 −$1,364 -70%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 30 $292 +$108 +37%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $2,582 +$443 +17%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 29 $432 +$90 +21%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $1,985 +$68 +3%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 29 $891 +$309 +35%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 29 $1,296 +$290 +22%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $2,706 +$524 +19%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 29 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 29 $5 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 89¢ $536 13m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 53¢ $10 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 67¢ $62 17m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 27¢ $33 17m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 18¢ $111 17m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $55 21m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 16¢ $88 25m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 79¢ $483 26m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 75¢ $459 30m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 74¢ $11 30m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 70¢ $4 31m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 22¢ $2 33m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 76¢ $142 34m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 74¢ $15 36m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 87¢ $524 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 25¢ $153 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 24¢ $80 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 93¢ $559 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 93¢ $19 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 91¢ $493 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 41¢ $305 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 56¢ $9 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 60¢ $162 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 62¢ $67 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 67¢ $406 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 59¢ $12 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 33¢ $196 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 61¢ $359 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 86¢ $518 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 85¢ $79 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,143.68 · official $2,143.68 (match) · 573 history records