Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:58:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x9288…8648
crypto · 290 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses142 / 156
Open positions0
Markets (closed)298 / 290
History coverage142d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day22.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 298 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$102
7 days+$102
14 days+$102
30 days+$100
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 43¢ 100¢ $4 $10 +$6 (+135%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 87¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Solana Up or Down - January 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 40¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+151%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+69%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +70%
Solana Up or Down - January 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +229%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +886%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +927%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -268%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$3 -24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-0.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 142 +22.2% +10.5% 57% 46% -1.4%
≤30d 144 +22.1% +10.4% 57% 46% -1.9%
≤90d 144 +22.1% +10.4% 57% 46% -1.9%
all 298 +9.9% -0.5% 48% 31% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.5% 31% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -10.0% 23% -18.2%
15% -18.7% 19% -26.1%
20% -26.7% 15% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.08 · official $10.11 · 3500 history records