Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x927f…d215
crypto · 370 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$778 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$779 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,412
Realized−$779
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses290 / 224
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)514 / 370
History coverage1d
Avg bet$249
Trades / day2687.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 514 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$779
7 days−$779
14 days−$779
30 days−$779
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $531 $1,045 +$514 (+97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 49¢ 62¢ $164 $206 +$42 (+26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $36 $73 +$36 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $22 $45 +$23 (+103%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 36¢ 38¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+7%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -6081%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -1144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +3612%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +3020%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$948
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $41 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $18 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $20 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $138 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $20 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $13 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $24 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $28 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $30 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $20 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $17 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $81 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $82 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $100 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $100 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $100 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $100 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $100 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $26 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $16 16m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+106.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 514 +128.5% +106.7% 56% 47% -10.4%
≤30d 514 +128.5% +106.7% 56% 47% -10.4%
≤90d 514 +128.5% +106.7% 56% 47% -10.4%
all 514 +128.5% +106.7% 56% 47% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2687.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +106.7% 47% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here +87.0% 42% -18.9%
15% +68.9% 39% -26.8%
20% +52.3% 36% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,411.64 · official $1,384.16 · 3500 history records