Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:24:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x927d…a85f
crypto · 65 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$156 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$161 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$128
Realized−$161
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses58 / 6
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)64 / 65
History coverage215d
Avg bet$542
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 95¢ 99¢ $123 $128 +$5 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 09 $115 +$3 +3%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? May 23 $117 +$1 +1%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Apr 30 $116 +$1 +1%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Apr 23 $608 $0 +0%
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? Mar 28 $116 +$1 +1%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? Mar 18 $216 +$6 +3%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? Mar 16 $111 +$1 +1%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m Feb 26 $775 $0 -0%
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? Feb 20 $396 +$1 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? Feb 19 $591 +$3 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026? Feb 14 $585 +$2 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? Feb 12 $3,485 +$6 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? Feb 12 $1,756 +$2 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? Feb 10 $2,291 +$6 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? Feb 09 $4,496 +$5 +0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m Feb 09 $579 $0 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? Feb 08 $1,085 +$1 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026? Feb 07 $1,153 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6? Feb 07 $580 +$1 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? Feb 06 $3,414 +$2 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? Feb 04 $572 +$1 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? Feb 04 $573 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3? Feb 04 $575 +$1 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? Feb 03 $573 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21? Jan 21 $276 −$275 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20? Jan 21 $279 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19? Jan 20 $274 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 18? Jan 19 $276 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17? Jan 18 $274 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16? Jan 17 $267 +$4 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 15? Jan 15 $270 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 15? Jan 15 $264 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 13? Jan 13 $266 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 30? Dec 31 $262 +$3 +1%
Will Base launch a token in 2025? Dec 25 $519 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 12? Dec 14 $260 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10? Dec 10 $258 +$3 +1%
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? Dec 10 $724 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 8? Dec 09 $257 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 7? Dec 08 $81 +$3 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 7? Dec 08 $173 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 6? Dec 07 $253 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5? Dec 06 $243 +$10 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 3? Dec 03 $242 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 2? Dec 03 $235 +$7 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 29? Nov 30 $235 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 28? Nov 29 $233 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 27? Nov 28 $230 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 26? Nov 27 $232 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 25? Nov 26 $229 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 62% +$42
crypto 29% −$205
other 6% +$6
economics 4% $0
finance 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $123 1h
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $118 4d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $72 21d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $5 21d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $7 21d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $24 21d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $8 21d
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $118 21d
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $117 39d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? SELL No 98¢ $117 44d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 97¢ $48 51d
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $49 51d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 97¢ $68 57d
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $69 57d
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $117 76d
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $117 77d
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $7 87d
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $109 87d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? SELL No 96¢ $115 87d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? BUY No 96¢ $115 88d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? SELL No 97¢ $112 89d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? BUY No 96¢ $111 89d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? SELL No 98¢ $107 90d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? BUY No 92¢ $101 96d
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $105 102d
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $78 105d
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $27 105d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m SELL No 99¢ $205 107d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY No 99¢ $204 112d
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $202 113d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +2.8% -7.0% 100% 0% -7.0%
≤30d 2 +2.0% -7.7% 100% 0% -7.7%
≤90d 7 +1.3% -8.3% 100% 0% -8.7%
all 64 -0.9% -10.3% 91% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.3% 0% -9.9%
10% -18.9% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $128.14 · official $128.14 (match) · 372 history records