Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:37:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x9277…37e9
crypto · 434 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,665 -46%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,665 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$2,665
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses202 / 522
Open positions0
Markets (closed)724 / 434
History coverage14d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day239.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 724 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,379
7 days−$2,859
14 days−$2,665
30 days−$2,665
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+71%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+58%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+70%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+46%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+136%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 24¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+310%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 17¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+472%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 41¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+144%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+77%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$6 +1106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$11 +1661%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$28 +5444%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$9 +1494%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +710%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$24 +5799%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$37 +15458%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$13 +7438%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +1110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$14 +4127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$41 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$835
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 523 -23.8% -31.0% 19% 18% -48.4%
≤30d 724 -10.3% -18.8% 28% 27% -37.6%
≤90d 724 -10.3% -18.8% 28% 27% -37.6%
all 724 -10.3% -18.8% 28% 27% -37.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover239.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 27% -37.6%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 27% -43.5%
15% -33.7% 25% -49.0%
20% -40.2% 22% -54.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.93 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records