Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x926c…e210
crypto · 185 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$27 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses69 / 115
Open positions1
Markets (closed)184 / 185
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day173.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 184 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 52¢ 76¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 31¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 184 -11.4% -19.9% 38% 35% -16.5%
≤30d 184 -11.4% -19.9% 38% 35% -16.5%
≤90d 184 -11.4% -19.9% 38% 35% -16.5%
all 184 -11.4% -19.9% 38% 35% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover173.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 35% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 32% -24.5%
15% -34.5% 27% -31.8%
20% -41.0% 24% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.24 · official $2.66 (match) · 536 history records