Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:09:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x9263…f400
crypto · 23 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$116 -37%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$149 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$149
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses3 / 19
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)22 / 23
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day32.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 22 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$149
7 days−$149
14 days−$149
30 days−$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Over 12¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Raphinha: 1+ goals Yes 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Over 36¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$6 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$14 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $58 −$55 -95%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals Jun 14 $42 +$61 +146%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Raphinha: 1+ goals Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $41 −$40 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% −$139
sports 27% −$58
other 17% +$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 13¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $26 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 BUY Over 12¢ $8 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 6h
Raphinha: 1+ goals BUY Yes 18¢ $10 6h
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals BUY Yes 40¢ $42 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-57.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -52.6% -57.1% 14% 14% -57.8%
≤30d 22 -52.6% -57.1% 14% 14% -57.8%
≤90d 22 -52.6% -57.1% 14% 14% -57.8%
all 22 -52.6% -57.1% 14% 14% -57.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.1% 14% -57.8%
10% ← realistic here -61.2% 14% -61.9%
15% -65.0% 14% -65.6%
20% -68.4% 14% -68.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 35 history records