trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Knicks | 51¢ | 50¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 20¢ | 19¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Down | 58¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu | Jun 12 | $50 | +$14 | +27% |
| Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard | Jun 12 | $5 | +$1 | +13% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | May 04 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $4 | +$1 | +29% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +28.1% | +15.9% | 100% | 100% | +15.4% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +28.1% | +15.9% | 100% | 100% | +15.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +2.6% | -7.2% | 80% | 80% | +7.1% |
| all | 5 | +2.6% | -7.2% | 80% | 80% | +7.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.2% | 80% | +7.1% |
| 10% | -16.1% | 60% | -3.1% |
| 15% | -24.2% | 20% | -12.5% |
| 20% | -31.6% | 0% | -21.1% |