Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:14:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x9259…2074
sports · 627 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$113 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$113 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$113
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses421 / 205
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions1
Markets (closed)626 / 627
History coverage91d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day12.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 626 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$2
14 days−$25
30 days−$70
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 88¢ 88¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +27%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 $0 +39%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $2 +$1 +39%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4 −$1 -13%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$3 -75%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $32 −$8 -23%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $7 +$4 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $9 +$2 +27%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 $0 +35%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$3 +54%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 $0 +39%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 −$1 -16%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 11 $1 +$2 +180%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $5 +$3 +64%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 $0 -40%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $14 +$2 +17%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $2 −$2 -87%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 09 $5 +$1 +20%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 +$1 +123%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 +$1 +54%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $8 $0 -1%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $2 +$1 +44%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $7 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2 $0 +10%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $1 $0 +34%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 $0 +41%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 $0 +46%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 +$1 +101%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 07 $1 $0 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% −$107
crypto 15% −$4
finance 15% +$13
other 9% +$3
weather 3% −$16
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 77¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 79¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 69¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $3 5h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 87¢ $3 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $3 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 91¢ $3 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $3 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $2 11h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 11h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 86¢ $2 13h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $2 26h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $2 26h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $1 28h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $2 31h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $3 31h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 59¢ $2 31h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $2 32h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 95¢ $2 32h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 58¢ $2 32h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 84¢ $1 33h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 48¢ $1 33h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 84¢ $1 33h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 20¢ $1 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -5.0% -14.0% 61% 54% -10.4%
≤30d 189 -4.4% -13.5% 64% 54% -14.7%
≤90d 546 -4.5% -13.6% 65% 50% -14.8%
all 626 -0.4% -9.9% 67% 53% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 53% -13.7%
10% -18.5% 34% -22.0%
15% -26.4% 22% -29.5%
20% -33.6% 15% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.13 · official $4.13 (match) · 1506 history records