trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 22% | 0% | -7.9% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 13% | 0% | -8.5% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +31.6% | +19.1% | 20% | 4% | -9.4% |
| all | 30 | +22.2% | +10.6% | 20% | 3% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +10.6% | 3% | -9.9% |
| 10% | +0.0% | 3% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -9.7% | 3% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -18.5% | 3% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 15 | $100 | +$6 | +6% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $40 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $38 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $78 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 10 | $62 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 10 | $2 | −$1 | -31% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 09 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 09 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 08 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 08 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 25 | $129 | +$4 | +3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026? | Apr 25 | $132 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first roun | Apr 22 | $185 | −$9 | -5% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 02 | $243 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 02 | $238 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 02 | $238 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 01 | $238 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 31 | $238 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Mar 31 | $15 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? | Mar 30 | $74 | +$4 | +6% |
| Lindenwood vs. Western Illinois | Mar 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Brentford win on 2025-02-26? | Feb 25 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | Feb 25 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Aleo airdrop in Q1 2025? | Feb 25 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Alabama vs. Missouri | Feb 18 | $12 | −$3 | -24% |