Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:00:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x9243…658e
sports · 28 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$309,899 +86%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$302,926 · open +$6,972
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Net worth$547,923
Realized+$302,926
Unrealized+$6,972
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses5 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2,996
Open positions24
Markets (closed)6 / 28
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12,925
Trades / day3488.0
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 24 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$302,926
7 days+$302,926
14 days+$302,926
30 days+$302,926
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 79¢ 80¢ $119,000 $120,750 +$1,750 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 52¢ 54¢ $104,999 $107,000 +$2,001 (+2%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 44¢ $63,457 $65,723 +$2,266 (+4%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ 42¢ $66,490 $65,660 −$830 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 38¢ 38¢ $55,706 $56,439 +$733 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 19¢ 20¢ $28,499 $29,249 +$750 (+3%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 53¢ 52¢ $27,030 $26,265 −$765 (-3%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? No 47¢ 48¢ $23,690 $23,942 +$252 (+1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? No 33¢ 34¢ $22,811 $23,157 +$346 (+2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 54¢ $5,507 $5,559 +$52 (+1%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Daria Snigur 56¢ 59¢ $4,996 $5,263 +$268 (+5%)
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 Under 60¢ 60¢ $3,542 $3,572 +$30 (+1%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 54¢ $3,419 $3,452 +$32 (+1%)
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Saudi Arabia 59¢ 60¢ $2,745 $2,769 +$23 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 40¢ $2,755 $2,721 −$34 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Over 20¢ 20¢ $1,924 $1,972 +$48 (+2%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 48¢ $1,576 $1,592 +$16 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Over 68¢ 68¢ $1,154 $1,162 +$8 (+1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 64¢ 64¢ $700 $706 +$5 (+1%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Canada 26¢ 26¢ $570 $581 +$11 (+2%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 52¢ $199 $205 +$6 (+3%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 Under 40¢ 40¢ $86 $87 +$1 (+1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 Under 68¢ 68¢ $67 $68 +$0 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 62¢ $28 $30 +$2 (+6%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Zeynep Sonmez 52¢ $3,404 $0 −$3,404 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $3,453 −$3,404 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10,773 +$285,566 +2651%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $207 +$245 +118%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $9,600 +$15,400 +160%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $5,017 +$4,983 +99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $91 +$137 +150%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 60% +$291,112
sports 39% +$18,534
world 1% +$252
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 33¢ $5 0m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $1 1m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $1 1m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $6 1m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $3 1m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $1 1m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 68¢ $2 1m
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 33¢ $10 1m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $4 1m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $11 2m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $4 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $60 2m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $184 2m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $3 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $2 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $29 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $18 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $52 3m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $8 3m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $17 3m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $3 4m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $6 4m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $15 5m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $11 5m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $12 5m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $6 5m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $1 5m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $1 6m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $7 7m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $35 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +83%
net ROI/market (all)+356.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +404.6% +356.5% 83% 83% +714.5%
≤30d 6 +404.6% +356.5% 83% 83% +714.5%
≤90d 6 +404.6% +356.5% 83% 83% +714.5%
all 6 +404.6% +356.5% 83% 83% +714.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3488.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +356.5% 83% +714.5%
10% +312.9% 83% +636.6%
15% ← realistic here +273.0% 83% +565.4%
20% +236.4% 83% +500.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $547,923.26 · official $547,916.49 (match) · 3500 history records