Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:39:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x923a…e723
crypto · 657 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$53 · open +$36
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$412
Realized−$53
Unrealized+$36
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses326 / 322
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions9
Markets (closed)648 / 657
History coverage45d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day36.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 9 History 648 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$255
14 days+$272
30 days+$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $100 $123 +$23 (+23%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $50 $65 +$15 (+30%)
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 32¢ 32¢ $60 $59 −$1 (-2%)
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 25¢ 23¢ $60 $56 −$4 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 49¢ 96¢ $20 $39 +$19 (+97%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-2%)
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $68 +$77 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$27 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$14 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$18 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$28 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$42 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$25 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$23 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$21 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$28 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$34 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$17 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$27 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $83 −$77 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$11 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$17 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Jun 09 $21 +$11 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1PM ET Jun 09 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $21 +$21 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $21 +$20 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $36 −$36 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$81
sports 4% −$28
other 2% −$55
politics 0% −$16
world 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $19 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $26 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $33 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $21 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $12 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 197 -1.2% -10.6% 48% 48% -14.0%
≤30d 580 +1.7% -8.0% 52% 52% -9.2%
≤90d 648 +0.1% -9.4% 50% 50% -9.8%
all 648 +0.1% -9.4% 50% 50% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 50% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 49% -18.5%
15% -26.0% 48% -26.3%
20% -33.3% 47% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $412.31 · official $410.27 (match) · 2371 history records