trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +445.0% | +393.1% | 67% | 67% | +238.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +174.4% | +148.3% | 43% | 43% | +53.5% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +174.4% | +148.3% | 43% | 43% | +53.5% |
| all | 40 | +3.4% | -6.5% | 32% | 32% | +5.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.5% | 32% | +5.3% |
| 10% | -15.4% | 32% | -4.8% |
| 15% | -23.6% | 28% | -14.0% |
| 20% | -31.1% | 25% | -22.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Under | 35¢ | 68¢ | $10 | $19 | +$9 (+94%) |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 70¢ | $1 | $6 | +$4 (+270%) |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $3 | $2 | −$1 (-31%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$66 | +1329% |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$22 | +106% |
| Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer | Jun 04 | $5 | +$9 | +186% |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Desire Doue: Anytime Goalscorer | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Bills vs. Broncos | Jan 17 | $10 | +$3 | +30% |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | Jan 14 | $6 | +$2 | +35% |
| Bulls vs. Hawks | Dec 27 | $5 | +$8 | +156% |
| Raptors vs. Heat | Dec 27 | $5 | +$9 | +186% |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Dec 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Grizzlies | Dec 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Timberwolves | Dec 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Dec 19 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Celtics | Dec 18 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Jazz | Dec 18 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Dec 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Dec 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Dec 16 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Chargers vs. Chiefs | Dec 15 | $5 | +$7 | +144% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Dec 15 | $20 | +$80 | +400% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10? | Dec 10 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference? | Dec 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Costco say "Automation" during earnings call? | Dec 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference? | Dec 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference | Dec 10 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference | Dec 10 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than | Dec 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | Dec 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 8? | Dec 08 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | Dec 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Falcons | Dec 08 | $5 | +$2 | +37% |
| Dolphins vs. Jets | Dec 08 | $10 | +$8 | +75% |
| Celtics vs. Raptors | Dec 08 | $15 | +$10 | +70% |
| Steelers vs. Ravens | Dec 08 | $15 | +$12 | +82% |
| Bears vs. Packers | Dec 07 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | Dec 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies | Dec 07 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Colts vs. Jaguars | Dec 07 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |