Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:53:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x922b…8693
crypto · 227 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$71 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$71 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$4
Realized−$71
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses112 / 113
Open positions2
Markets (closed)225 / 227
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day112.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 225 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$70
7 days−$71
14 days−$71
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 60¢ 55¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 60¢ 68¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+13%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 52¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 62¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 51¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 55¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 67¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 44¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 60¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 57¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 42¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 63¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 45¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 53¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 74¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 57¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 56¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 66¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 53¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 62¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 60¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 64¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 60¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 61¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +70%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +43%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +75%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +76%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -21%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +78%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +58%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$66
other 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 17m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 33m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 37m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 225 -7.8% -16.5% 50% 46% -15.9%
≤30d 225 -7.8% -16.5% 50% 46% -15.9%
≤90d 225 -7.8% -16.5% 50% 46% -15.9%
all 225 -7.8% -16.5% 50% 46% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover112.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 46% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 43% -24.0%
15% -31.8% 39% -31.3%
20% -38.5% 28% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.93 · official $4.01 (match) · 529 history records