Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:36:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x9214…ddbf
sports · 167 markets active 0h ago
6.5score
+$8,524 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,950 · open +$574
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$8,026
Realized+$7,950
Unrealized+$574
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses84 / 82
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Est. fees paid−$760
Open positions1
Markets (closed)166 / 167
History coverage48d
Avg bet$337
Trades / day15.9
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 166 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,103
7 days+$6,180
14 days+$7,105
30 days+$7,789
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 78¢ 84¢ $7,451 $8,026 +$574 (+8%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 61¢ $305 $0 −$305 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $1,493 $0 −$1,493 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 32¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $790 +$196 +25%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $981 +$380 +39%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1,698 +$1,809 +106%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $2,576 +$2,448 +95%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $5,338 −$178 -3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,516 −$1,493 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,202 +$240 +5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $1,999 −$573 -29%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $181 +$26 +14%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,054 +$248 +24%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $520 +$222 +43%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 08 $13 +$2 +15%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $3,108 +$507 +16%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $268 +$489 +183%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,054 +$444 +42%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1,800 +$250 +14%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $833 +$423 +51%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $309 −$305 -99%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $376 +$107 +28%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $356 +$391 +110%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $157 −$157 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $71 −$71 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $150 −$150 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $65 −$65 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $860 +$165 +19%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,000 +$500 +50%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $683 +$326 +48%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,027 +$448 +44%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $445 +$117 +26%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $1,048 +$105 +10%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $623 +$37 +6%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $607 +$97 +16%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $140 +$165 +118%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $101 −$101 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner Jun 01 $129 −$25 -20%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $149 +$19 +13%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $330 +$46 +14%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 31 $300 +$134 +45%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World C May 31 $139 −$54 -39%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 31 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 31 $46 −$46 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 31 $206 −$206 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $279 +$109 +39%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $150 +$42 +28%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 30 $54 −$54 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $79 −$77 -98%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $13 +$2 +16%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $72 +$153 +213%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $78 +$21 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$6,587
other 5% +$1,984
crypto 0% −$40
world 0% −$3
weather 0% −$3
politics 0% +$2
economics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 65¢ $991 2m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $144 4m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $100 4m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $328 4m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $35 4m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $12 4m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $280 4m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $187 4m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $280 4m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $47 4m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 83¢ $11 17m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 83¢ $1,612 17m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 83¢ $260 17m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 83¢ $3,192 17m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 98¢ $105 36m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 98¢ $98 37m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 98¢ $10 37m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 98¢ $50 37m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 98¢ $166 37m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 98¢ $557 37m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $790 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 90¢ $1,360 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 64¢ $981 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $1,719 7h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $1,788 7h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1,698 10h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $5,024 21h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $2,576 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 96¢ $4,160 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 77¢ $3,370 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +10.9% +0.3% 70% 67% +7.5%
≤30d 132 -6.9% -15.7% 50% 47% +5.1%
≤90d 166 -2.2% -11.5% 51% 48% +5.2%
all 166 -2.2% -11.5% 51% 48% +5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 48% +5.2%
10% -20.0% 39% -4.9%
15% -27.7% 30% -14.1%
20% -34.8% 18% -22.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,025.72 · official $8,025.72 (match) · 839 history records