trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 0% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 0% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -14.3% | -22.4% | 14% | 0% | -10.3% |
| all | 14 | -14.3% | -22.4% | 14% | 0% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.4% | 0% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -29.9% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -36.6% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -42.9% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $366 | $366 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? | Jun 24 | $376 | −$8 | -2% |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? | Jun 23 | $380 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? | Jun 23 | $377 | $0 | +0% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | May 15 | $496 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5) | May 15 | $485 | +$12 | +2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026? | May 14 | $483 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026? | May 12 | $478 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5) | May 08 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? | May 08 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5) | May 07 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | May 07 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: FC Nantes (-2.5) | Apr 23 | $434 | +$2 | +0% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | Apr 22 | $434 | $0 | +0% |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? | Apr 07 | $201 | $0 | -0% |