Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:57:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

92
0x920c…d51d
crypto · 22 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses9 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)22 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day47.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 22 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -63%
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? Jun 13 $2 $0 -7%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$11 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$7 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$13
other 3% $0
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 35m
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? SELL Yes 29¢ $2 38m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 16¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $14 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $18 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $13 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $13 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $17 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -6.0% -14.9% 41% 36% -17.3%
≤30d 22 -6.0% -14.9% 41% 36% -17.3%
≤90d 22 -6.0% -14.9% 41% 36% -17.3%
all 22 -6.0% -14.9% 41% 36% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 36% -17.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 36% -25.3%
15% -30.5% 27% -32.5%
20% -37.3% 23% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 48 history records