Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T18:36:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
92 0x920b…9ecc crypto 505 markets active 2h ago coverage 65d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$43 (-1%) realized −$9 · open −$34
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR65%break-even
Win rate67%338W / 166L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day10.0pace
Fees−$20est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$61
7 days+$21
14 days−$65
30 days−$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 58% −$47
crypto 42% −$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +19.0% +7.7% 76% 76% -4.1%
≤30d 103 +5.2% -4.8% 68% 68% -13.5%
≤90d 504 +1.3% -8.4% 67% 65% -11.5%
all 504 +1.3% -8.4% 67% 65% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 65% -11.5%
10% -17.2% 54% -19.9%
15% -25.2% 37% -27.7%
20% -32.5% 28% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$8 · ×0.46 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

65d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized−$34
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses338 / 166
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions1
Markets (closed)504 / 505
History coverage65d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 504 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Lehecka Jiri Lehecka 70¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 54 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Figueira Da Foz: Jeline Vandromme vs Valentina Ryser Jun 18 $34 +$11 +32%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Jun 18 $31 +$12 +40%
Nottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarro Jun 17 $36 +$22 +62%
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 17 $3 +$3 +97%
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka Jun 16 $32 +$13 +40%
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Jun 16 $3 −$3 -98%
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Vit Kopriva Jun 16 $24 −$24 -98%
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 16 $3 +$2 +65%
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 16 $3 +$2 +65%
Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia Starodubtseva Jun 15 $3 −$3 -99%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $33 −$33 -99%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $3 +$1 +32%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $32 +$12 +39%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova Jun 13 $3 +$3 +100%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $31 +$12 +39%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $30 +$12 +42%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $31 −$31 -99%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $25 −$25 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $3 +$2 +65%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $32 +$21 +65%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 08 $33 −$33 -99%
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tauson Jun 08 $3 +$2 +65%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Tatjana Maria vs Yuriko Miyazaki Jun 07 $35 +$17 +48%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks Jun 07 $34 −$33 -99%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovi Jun 07 $26 −$26 -99%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 06 $26 −$26 -98%
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Jun 05 $34 +$6 +18%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Mika Stojsavljevic Jun 05 $17 +$3 +18%
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 05 $32 +$6 +18%
Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Giorgia Pedone Jun 04 $35 −$35 -99%
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Dominika Salkova Jun 04 $37 −$37 -99%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Alina Charaeva Jun 04 $39 +$7 +17%
Makarska: Tena Lukas vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 04 $40 +$8 +20%
Makarska: Robin Montgomery vs Lea Boskovic Jun 04 $17 −$17 -99%
Foggia: Carole Monnet vs Tatiana Prozorova Jun 04 $38 −$38 -100%
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Maddison Inglis Jun 03 $8 +$2 +23%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 02 $65 +$94 +145%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Jun 01 $39 +$7 +18%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $39 +$15 +40%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry Jun 01 $9 +$3 +32%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $24 −$23 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce May 30 $38 +$16 +44%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova May 30 $22 +$45 +206%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana May 30 $21 −$21 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda May 30 $21 +$13 +65%
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka May 30 $37 +$6 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Lehecka BUY Jiri Lehecka 70¢ $34 1h
Figueira Da Foz: Jeline Vandromme vs Valentina Ryser BUY Jeline Vandromme 75¢ $34 2h
Nottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarro BUY Emma Navarro 60¢ $33 30h
Nottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarro BUY Emma Navarro 75¢ $3 31h
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Nikola Bartunkova 50¢ $3 33h
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka BUY Jiri Lehecka 71¢ $32 47h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo BUY Gabriel Diallo 36¢ $3 2d
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Vit Kopriva BUY Vit Kopriva 17¢ $24 2d
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann BUY Yannick Hanfmann 60¢ $3 2d
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 60¢ $3 2d
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Petra Marcinko 71¢ $31 3d
Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia Starodubtseva BUY Maya Joint 57¢ $3 3d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 67¢ $33 4d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Zeynep Sonmez 75¢ $3 4d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Viktorija Golubic 72¢ $4 5d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva BUY Alicia Dudeney 50¢ $3 5d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 60¢ $3 5d
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 71¢ $32 5d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova BUY Anna Blinkova 49¢ $3 5d
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 71¢ $31 5d
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 67¢ $5 5d
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 70¢ $30 6d
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 66¢ $31 6d
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra BUY Lois Boisson 50¢ $25 8d
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet BUY Nick Kyrgios 60¢ $3 9d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez BUY Leylah Fernandez 64¢ $33 9d
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler BUY Karolina Pliskova 60¢ $32 10d
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tauson BUY Mia Pohankova 60¢ $3 10d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks BUY Alycia Parks 70¢ $34 11d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovi BUY Aliaksandra Sasnovich 74¢ $26 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $0.02 (match) · 1017 history records