Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:58:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91f4…d093
weather · 653 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$85 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48 · open −$38
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$156
Realized−$48
Unrealized−$38
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses229 / 364
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions60
Markets (closed)593 / 653
History coverage12d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day114.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 60 History 593 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$349
7 days−$209
14 days−$48
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 13? No 86¢ 100¢ $7 $9 +$1 (+16%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 13? No 80¢ 84¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? No 78¢ 78¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14? No 86¢ 83¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14? No 86¢ 82¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? No 84¢ 96¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+15%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? No 76¢ 72¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 13? No 74¢ 92¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+25%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? No 59¢ 76¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+28%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? Yes 82¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+21%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? No 84¢ 92¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+10%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? No 74¢ 78¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 14? No 68¢ 68¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 14? No 87¢ 90¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14? No 81¢ 79¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? No 75¢ 67¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 13? No 70¢ 44¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-36%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13? No 69¢ 56¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-18%)
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? No 78¢ 60¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-23%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 75¢ 53¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-29%)
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 13? Yes 14¢ 4¢ $8 $3 −$5 (-67%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No 64¢ 46¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-27%)
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 6¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+76%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 +$1 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$10 +202%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$13 +268%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 +$2 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 +$1 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 +$9 +110%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 13? Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 +$3 +35%
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $13 −$2 -16%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 +$1 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +167%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$17 +341%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$7 +148%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 11? Jun 12 $4 +$5 +126%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 12 $5 +$5 +116%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 88% −$86
sports 5% +$33
other 2% −$10
politics 2% −$13
world 1% −$2
crypto 1% −$7
tech 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL Yes 36¢ $2 11m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY No 81¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? BUY No 74¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $15 1h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $18 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $6 2h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $7 2h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 12¢ $0 3h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $9 3h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $6 5h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $16 5h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 84¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? BUY No 59¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $7 7h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 55¢ $3 9h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 13? BUY Yes 74¢ $4 9h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 10h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 69¢ $5 10h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 14? BUY No 87¢ $4 10h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 90¢ $8 11h
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 41¢ $2 11h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 11h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 11h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 76¢ $4 11h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 11h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 11h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 391 -20.3% -27.8% 37% 35% -22.8%
≤30d 593 -10.6% -19.1% 39% 36% -11.5%
≤90d 593 -10.6% -19.1% 39% 36% -11.5%
all 593 -10.6% -19.1% 39% 36% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover114.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.1% 36% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.9% 31% -20.0%
15% -33.9% 25% -27.7%
20% -40.4% 22% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $155.60 · official $155.61 (match) · 1595 history records